***1***
I play extremely aggressively (even more so that I do live),
and in doing so, I usually find myself facing two
kinds of opponents: the first, and most common type
of opponent is hesistant to get into too many pots
with me - they will often see a flop, but not continue
unless they hit the hand very hard (once I recognize
these opponents, I pick up a lot of garbage pots with
flop bets or raises), the second type of opponent is
the kind who recognizes that I am playing with extreme aggression and will try and counter my aggression with calculated aggression of their own; (once I recognize these players, I am comfortable making tough decisions and will make some thin calls or put in third raises with nothing if I think they are trying to outplay me).
Anyway, on this particular day, on this particular day, I was having a very
good session, and had run my 2K starting stack to over
32K. The game had cleared out in the last hour or so,
leaving only two very good players in a game that was
playing three-handed. My opponent in this hand was a
fairly creative player, once with a lot of courage to
make some tough calls, and able to scale his game for
it dropping to three handed.
OK, onto the hand. With the game three-handed, my
opponent's stack at 2800, and me having him easily
covered, I raised on the button with Jd Td to 55
(which is my standard opening raise). Of course,
three handed, on the button, that means that I
probably have two cards - and my opponent knows this.
He reraised me to 150. I did not think that he would
be doing this without some sort of a hand (ie not on a
pure bluff), but it also would not require a premium
holding either. The big blind folded, and I obviously
called.
The flop comes down 9s-7s-2d, and my opponent led out
for 200 into a pot of a little more than 300. Now, he
could be doing this with any pair, missed overcards,
and he would also play a set like that. I could not
yet tell which, but having a gutshot straight draw, a
backdoor flush draw, overcards - and most importantly,
position on him, I decided to call. I thought that I
had way too much equity (primarily in the advantage of
position) to fold here, but I thought if I raised, he
would call or (probably) reraise with an overpair and
with his courage (and frustration at my running over
the game), might reraise me with overcards. So I
decided to just call and see what he did on the turn.
The turn was a total brick - the three of clubs. My
opponent bet out a very weak bet 200 - into a pot of
about 700. Now, against 90% of opponents, I attack
this kind of weakness and would raise to about
600-700. However, there were two factors at work that
made me decide against that. First, I had really run
over this game, and my opponent was a little
frustrated. I could see him making a stand with a
hand like 66. And second, this was one of the few
very good players who was capable of faking weakness
against a player like me with a monster and trying to
induce a raise. Now based on his turn play, I ruled
out hands like A-9, K-9, 10-10, J-J, and probably QQ,
KK, and AA too. I think that he would have bet those
hard on the turn after I called the flop bet and the
turn was such a brick. I think that his weak turn bet
would mean a pair lower than the nine, missed
overcards (most likely), or a monster setting a trap.
... So in this case, I decided to call again. I knew
I was playing this exactly like a spade draw, so I
figured the following.
(a) if he has a set, I have 9 outs to win the pot: my
four real outs to the straight, plus any other spade
that does not pair the board. I have played this so
much like a flush draw, that there is no way I don't
win the pot if the third spade hits - he will even
fold a set here.
(b) if he has overcards, I will know by his check or
the size of his bet on the river, and I will win the
pot - on any card except for a non-spade ace, king, or
queen (which I would just give up on);
(c) if he has a pair, I will again know by his river
action, and I win on any card that isn't a non-spade
ace, king, or queen or makes his set.
So putting that all together - and me having
confidence on figuring out his holding after his river
action, I had a clear call of 200 into a pot that was
now (with my call over 1100).
The river was my perfect card - an offsuit eight,
giving me the nuts. He checked. When he checked, I
knew for certain that he had either missed overcards
or some sissy pair. Now, I had a new problem,
Instead of figuring out how to win the pot as I was
doing throughout the hand, I now had to figure out how
to get paid. I knew his holding was weak - most
likely no pair. However, I also knew that I had
played this exactly like a spade draw. ... Another
quick piece of background information: no matter what
the situation - whether I have the nuts, a stone
bluff, or anything in between - I almost always bet
between 2/3 and 3/4 of the pot. The reasons for this
can be discussed another time if you like. However,
in this case, I decided to make an exception. Since I
had to try and get called by (most likely) AK - a no
pair hand, I had to make this look like a busted draw.
So I think the bet size is important. So I decided
to bet 1000 into the pot of 1100+. The specific value
of 1000 is higher than I would normally bet in this
spot (and he knows that) - and moreover, it just
"looks" like a bluffing amount.
***2***
Player X raises from the CO 1st in, you call on the BUTTON with a As4s.
Flop is Qh 4h 3s. Your opponent bets.
Lets say you were sure he had a mid pair like 77. Well you have 5 outs and a backdoor flush. He is not giving you odds to call due to the size of his bet. But wait, the board has one over and 2 hearts. Potentially you have 3 Qs and 9 hearts extra as outs for a total of 17. Now you have odds. If your opponent can fold to a scare card this might be a good place to call and try a bluff. Even if it fails you have 5 real outs to beat him.
Daniel N. pulled this on Freddy Deebs at the Tournament Masters on TV. I thought it was one of the best bluffs I ever saw. He player his hand thinking he had outs then played the board as it developed into a reasonable hand he COULD have that would smoke Deeb. Deed folded TP TK on the river to nothing.
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